Granada II 4-3 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.16/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.15
-9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2023 Xerez Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-0 Granada II Granada II İS4
06.11.2022 Granada II Granada II 1-2 HT 0-1 Xerez Deportivo İS4
POST-MATCH Granada II vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada II nicked a narrow win over Xerez Deportivo 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Granada II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Granada II and 1.00 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of Granada II vs Xerez Deportivo?

Granada II 4-3 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada II vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Granada II 42%, draw 30%, Xerez Deportivo 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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