Eibar II 1-2 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar II
1-2
AWAY Gernika
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Eibar II vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika squeezed past Eibar II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar II had 59% of the ball to Gernika's 41%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Eibar II vs Gernika?

Eibar II 1-2 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar II vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eibar II 44%, draw 27%, Gernika 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eibar II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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