Rayo Cantabria 1-1 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.75/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.02
+27% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1W-0D-0L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 1-3 HT 1-2 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1-1
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria and RC Deportivo Fabril couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Cantabria at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 54% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 46%, shots finished 4-10.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Rayo Cantabria 1-1 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 50%, draw 27%, RC Deportivo Fabril 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✓ Under 2.5
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