Sion 0-1 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 25 Oct 2025

Sion
0-1 HT 0-1
Thun
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
41%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.93
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.1
X/1
13%
5.25
X/2
13%
7.13
X/X
7%
5.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.1
2/2
21%
4.71
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+11.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.2pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.25/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.30
-35% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
21.9 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Thun
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.64 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2024 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV2
15.03.2024 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
08.12.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV2
25.09.2023 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
30.05.2021 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 2-2 Thun Thun İSVP
27.05.2021 Thun Thun 1-4 HT 0-2 Sion Sion İSVP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
0-1
AWAY Thun
1.01 xG 1.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 3
363 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
32 Box Touches 21
43 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sion vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun edged past Sion 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Thun made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sion had 60% of the ball to Thun's 40%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 1.01 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sion and 1.83 for Thun.

What was the final score of Sion vs Thun?

Sion 0-1 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sion 36%, draw 22%, Thun 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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