Greifswalder SV 3-3 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.1pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.2pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 51%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
0.66/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.07
-49% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
215 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
10.08.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-3 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
28.01.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
12.02.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
21.08.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV and Carl Zeiss Jena shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.17 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Greifswalder SV 3-3 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 32%, draw 20%, Carl Zeiss Jena 48%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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