AS Eupen 2-1 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.62/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.80
-20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.8 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
1W-1D-0L
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.81 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 255
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2025 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
27.09.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 3-1 HT 0-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
2-1
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.27 xG 0.85
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
500 Passes 356
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen edged past KRC Genk II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AS Eupen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, AS Eupen had 57% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 43%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.27 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AS Eupen had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AS Eupen and 0.50 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs KRC Genk II?

AS Eupen 2-1 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 53%, draw 27%, KRC Genk II 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Eupen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
25 Oct 2025
17:00 Club Brugge II vs Olympic Charleroi Analysis →
21:00 RFC Liege vs RWDM Brussels Analysis →
21:00 Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden Analysis →