Waasland-Beveren 2-1 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Waasland-Beveren win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.58/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.18
+5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.4 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 2.12
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 Passes 143
79% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-2 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
24.04.2025 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-2 HT 2-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
09.03.2025 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 1-2 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
30.11.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
15.03.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-1 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
26.08.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-1 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2-1
AWAY Patro Eisden
0.87 xG 1.13
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
422 Passes 182
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
9 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren nicked a narrow win over Patro Eisden 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 64% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 36%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.87 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Patro Eisden led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.50 for Patro Eisden.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden?

Waasland-Beveren 2-1 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 59%, draw 22%, Patro Eisden 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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