Naftan Novopolotsk 1-3 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.19/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.87
+40% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
07.04.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
02.09.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
22.04.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
26.09.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
31.05.2015 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1-3
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk saw off Naftan Novopolotsk 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 45% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk's 55%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 2.17 for Dinamo Minsk.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Minsk?

Naftan Novopolotsk 1-3 Dinamo Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 18%, draw 24%, Dinamo Minsk 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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