Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 Oct 2025

Atletico Mineiro
1-0 HT 1-0
Ceara
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.52
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
18%
4.06
X/2
7%
8.27
X/X
15%
4.12
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
10%
7.37
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Mineiro v Ceara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.52/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.49
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.1 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ceara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
396 Passes 282
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.06.2025 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.10.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
16.06.2022 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
09.10.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
25.06.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
22.11.2020 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1

Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1-0
AWAY Ceara
0.31 xG 1.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
464 Passes 408
89% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro nicked a narrow win over Ceara 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 53% of the ball to Ceara's 47%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.31 to 1.90 — on chances, Ceara could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.83 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara?

Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 52%, draw 26%, Ceara 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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