Vitoria 0-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.96
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.06
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
19%
5.43
X/2
11%
5.52
X/X
14%
3.73
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
13%
4.16
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.59/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.35
+5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
24.0 Crosses 17.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Corinthians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 0.92
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
277 Passes 441
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
09.11.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.07.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 3-2 HT 2-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
21.10.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
10.06.2018 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
11.05.2018 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
0-1
AWAY Corinthians
0.95 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
223 Passes 351
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians edged past Vitoria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vitoria at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vitoria had 42% of the ball to Corinthians's 58%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.95 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 1.67 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Corinthians?

Vitoria 0-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 41%, draw 28%, Corinthians 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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