Novorizontino 1-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Oct 2025

Novorizontino
1-1 HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
61%
+5.9pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.9pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Novorizontino v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -9%
1.34/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.56
-20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
26.9 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.79 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.07.2025 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
14.09.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-0 HT 2-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
28.05.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
21.10.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
28.06.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
14.03.2022 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BREPAU

Novorizontino 1-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.66 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
30 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
354 Passes 187
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and Botafogo SP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Novorizontino at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novorizontino had 61% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 39%, shots finished 30-8, expected goals 1.66 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo SP led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Novorizontino and 0.83 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?

Novorizontino 1-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 67%, draw 19%, Botafogo SP 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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