Botev Vratsa 2-1 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.03/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.22
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3-2 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
08.02.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
19.08.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-0 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
07.07.2018 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
2-1
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa squeezed past Septemvri Sofia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 47% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 53%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.25 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Botev Vratsa 2-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 47%, draw 28%, Septemvri Sofia 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✗ Under 2.5
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