Seongnam 1-0 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.75
Over 2.5
56%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
33%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.75 — our 31% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
53%
-9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
47%
+9.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.4pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.17/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.42
+30% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 10.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
331 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
23.02.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 2-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
1-0
AWAY Hwaseong
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
322 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam squeezed past Hwaseong 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Seongnam as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seongnam had 50% of the ball to Hwaseong's 50%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seongnam and 0.50 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Hwaseong?

Seongnam 1-0 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 50%, draw 21%, Hwaseong 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seongnam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seongnam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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