Busan I Park 4-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.73
-21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.9 Crosses 17.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
403 Passes 249
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2025 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
22.02.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
24.08.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
23.06.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
17.03.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
26.08.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-3 HT 2-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
4-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 0
271 Passes 254
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park cruised past Gimpo Citizen 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 49% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 51%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Busan I Park and 1.17 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?

Busan I Park 4-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 41%, draw 29%, Gimpo Citizen 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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