Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.92
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.62
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
14%
5.05
X/2
7%
5.99
X/X
13%
3.76
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
16%
4.7
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.34/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.90
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.7 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.10 xG 0.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
323 Passes 401
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.02.2025 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
02.12.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
06.08.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
08.04.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
18.05.2008 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 4-1 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.27 xG 0.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
301 Passes 460
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse edged past Tokyo Verdy 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Shimizu S-Pulse found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 41% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 59%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.27 to 0.74 — on chances, Tokyo Verdy could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.20 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 40%, draw 30%, Tokyo Verdy 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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