Larne FC 1-1 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
9%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.68
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.55
X/1
21%
3.68
X/2
3%
15.1
X/X
6%
6.26
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
4%
13.6
2/X
6%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
67%
+6.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.7pp
9%
Away Win
13%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.12/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.99
+5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
409 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Bangor FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
72% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.09.2025 Bangor FC Bangor FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
10.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 3-0 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRLCAS
08.01.2022 Bangor FC Bangor FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Larne FC Larne FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC and Bangor FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Larne FC carried 73% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Larne FC and 0.00 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Bangor FC?

Larne FC 1-1 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 73%, draw 18%, Bangor FC 9%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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