Linfield FC 2-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.37
Draw
14%
4.49
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
8%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.63
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
19.85
X/1
26%
3.7
X/2
5%
15.65
X/X
6%
6.67
2/1
9%
23.1
2/2
4%
13.9
2/X
4%
23.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
69%
+5.7pp
13%
Draw
19%
-5.8pp
12%
Away Win
12%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.46/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.93
+10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
07.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
09.11.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
10.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
24.02.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
03.02.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRK
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC squeezed past Ballymena United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Linfield FC and 0.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Linfield FC 2-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 74%, draw 13%, Ballymena United 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ BTTS No
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