Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.09
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
19%
4.03
X/2
9%
9.99
X/X
7%
5.39
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
7%
8.23
2/X
5%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+3.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
2.21/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.89
+26% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.09.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
17.01.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 0-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
21.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
20.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts edged past Glenavon FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 61%, draw 20%, Glenavon FC 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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