Glenavon FC 0-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.18
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
16%
5.07
X/2
11%
6.17
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
7%
24.95
2/2
13%
4.31
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.47/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
+13% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 0-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
21.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
20.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
04.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts saw off Glenavon FC 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Glenavon FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.17 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Glenavon FC 0-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 42%, draw 27%, Dungannon Swifts 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Glenavon FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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