Ayacucho FC 4-2 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.12/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.54
-34% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.7 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayacucho FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 1.71
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
248 Passes 126
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
9 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 HT 1-1 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayacucho FC
4-2
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
3.43 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
271 Passes 235
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ayacucho FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayacucho FC beat Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayacucho FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ayacucho FC had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 47%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 3.43 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Ayacucho FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Ayacucho FC 4-2 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayacucho FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayacucho FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 43%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayacucho FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayacucho FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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