Alianza Atletico 0-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.47/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.29
+19% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.5 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cienciano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.36 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
195 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.06.2025 Cienciano Cienciano 3-2 HT 1-2 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
24.10.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
13.05.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
06.08.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-1 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.05.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 5-2 HT 3-2 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
28.08.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
0-1
AWAY Cienciano
1.95 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
153 Passes 183
65% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano squeezed past Alianza Atletico 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Atletico at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 49% of the ball to Cienciano's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.95 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Atletico and 2.17 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano?

Alianza Atletico 0-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 43%, draw 26%, Cienciano 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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