ES Metlaoui 1-0 Gabes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.94
2-3 Goals
32%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
6.15
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabes EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.27/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.54
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gabes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.02.2025 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 0-1 Gabes Gabes TUN1
02.11.2024 Gabes Gabes 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui squeezed past Gabes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ES Metlaoui as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.00 for Gabes.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Gabes?

ES Metlaoui 1-0 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Gabes?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 50%, draw 32%, Gabes 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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