ES Metlaoui 2-1 Gabes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabes EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.85/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.48
+47% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gabes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.11.2024 Gabes Gabes 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui edged past Gabes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had ES Metlaoui as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Gabes?

ES Metlaoui 2-1 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Gabes?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 55%, draw 26%, Gabes 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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