ES Tunis 3-0 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.29/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.10
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.09 xG 1.14
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
442 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
12.05.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-2 HT 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
10.03.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
24.02.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 HT 0-2 ES Tunis ES Tunis AŞL
25.11.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel AŞL
10.06.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis ran out comfortable winners over Etoile Du Sahel 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ES Tunis and 0.33 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel?

ES Tunis 3-0 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 48%, draw 24%, Etoile Du Sahel 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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