Aveley 6-3 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
7%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.19
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
2W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.03.2024 Aveley Aveley 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
28.10.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 0-1 HT 0-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
6-3
AWAY St. Albans City
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aveley vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley cruised past St. Albans City 6-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Aveley found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aveley had 43% of the ball to St. Albans City's 57%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aveley had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aveley and 0.50 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Aveley vs St. Albans City?

Aveley 6-3 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aveley 34%, draw 27%, St. Albans City 39%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Albans City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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