Aveley 2-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.85/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.14
+38% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.10.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 0-1 HT 0-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
POST-MATCH Aveley vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley edged past St. Albans City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Albans City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Aveley vs St. Albans City?

Aveley 2-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aveley 34%, draw 24%, St. Albans City 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Albans City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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