Hemel Hempstead Town 1-7 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.91
6+ Goals
14%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
1.19/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.77
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
12.03.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.11.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
06.02.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
09.01.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
07.03.2020 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1-7
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
22% Ball Possession 78%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 14
1 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers cruised past Hemel Hempstead Town 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 22% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 78%, shots finished 6-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 2.00 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-7 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 31%, draw 20%, Dorking Wanderers 49%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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