Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
2.40/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.43
+45% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.11.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
06.02.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
09.01.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
07.03.2020 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3-2
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers squeezed past Hemel Hempstead Town 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 54% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 46%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.20 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 46%, draw 27%, Hemel Hempstead Town 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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