Empoli 1-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Nov 2024

Empoli
1-1 HT 1-0
Udinese
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Empoli vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
5.81
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.95
X/1
11%
5.69
X/2
11%
5.28
X/X
18%
3.4
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
4.02
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.9pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Empoli v Udinese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.34/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.17
-14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.2 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Empoli vs Udinese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Udinese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
340 Passes 267
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.10.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
11.03.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
04.01.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
16.04.2022 Udinese Udinese 4-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.12.2021 Empoli Empoli 3-1 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA

Empoli 1-1 Udinese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-1
AWAY Udinese
0.12 xG 0.83
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
194 Passes 549
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
2 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Udinese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Empoli had 30% of the ball to Udinese's 70%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.12 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Empoli and 1.33 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Udinese?

Empoli 1-1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Empoli 32%, draw 28%, Udinese 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Udinese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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