Midtjylland 1-0 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
18%
4.16
X/2
10%
8.89
X/X
8%
5.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.1
2/2
9%
6.52
2/X
8%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.99/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.58
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.5 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.75 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
393 Passes 487
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-3 HT 1-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
26.05.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-3 HT 0-2 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
29.04.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-0 HT 3-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
27.11.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-4 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
30.07.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 2-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
29.05.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-3 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
1-0
AWAY Silkeborg IF
0.69 xG 1.18
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
291 Passes 554
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland edged past Silkeborg IF 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Midtjylland had 37% of the ball to Silkeborg IF's 63%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.69 to 1.18 — on chances, Silkeborg IF could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Midtjylland and 1.83 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Silkeborg IF?

Midtjylland 1-0 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 50%, draw 24%, Silkeborg IF 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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