Tijuana 3-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Nov 2024

Tijuana
3-0 HT 2-0
Atlas
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Tijuana vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.22
X/2
10%
7.83
X/X
10%
4.42
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.25
2/X
10%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tijuana v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.56/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.29
-14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.8 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Tijuana vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Atlas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.85 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
21.01.2024 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
30.10.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
04.03.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
27.07.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-2 HT 1-2 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
26.02.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlas Atlas MEK

Tijuana 3-0 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
3-0
AWAY Atlas
2.86 xG 0.66
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
450 Passes 250
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana swept aside Atlas 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Tijuana had 63% of the ball to Atlas's 37%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.86 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tijuana and 0.33 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Atlas?

Tijuana 3-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 44%, draw 29%, Atlas 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tijuana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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