Atlas 0-0 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Oct 2024

Atlas
0-0 HT 0-0
Tijuana
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Atlas vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlas v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.38/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.46
-32% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.8 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Atlas vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tijuana
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 0.84
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
372 Passes 267
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
30.10.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
04.03.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
27.07.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-2 HT 1-2 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
26.02.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
29.10.2021 Atlas Atlas 0-2 HT 0-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK

Atlas 0-0 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
0-0
AWAY Tijuana
0.56 xG 0.94
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
193 Passes 510
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas and Tijuana played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atlas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Atlas had 31% of the ball to Tijuana's 69%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.56 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atlas and 1.50 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Tijuana?

Atlas 0-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atlas 45%, draw 26%, Tijuana 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atlas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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