Pumas UNAM 0-2 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.33/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.19
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.1 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 369
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-2 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
10.05.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-2 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
31.03.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
08.10.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-4 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
12.03.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
19.09.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-2 HT 0-2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
0-2
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.77 xG 1.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
295 Passes 452
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul got the better of Pumas UNAM 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 41% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 59%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.77 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.33 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?

Pumas UNAM 0-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 34%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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