Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
CONLK
1-1
HT 1-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
4-1
HT 1-1
Pachuca
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
Tigres UANL 2-1 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL squeezed past Pachuca 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 48% of the ball to Pachuca's 52%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.17 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Tigres UANL 2-1 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 50%, draw 24%, Pachuca 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.