Poole Town 5-5 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
12%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.21
Over 2.5
67%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
63%
+6.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
12%
Away Win
16%
-4.3pp
33%
Under 2.5
41%
-8.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
59%
+8.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.05/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.48
-2% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tiverton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2025 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
15.02.2025 Poole Town Poole Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
26.10.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
27.01.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 4-2 HT 3-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
17.10.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town and Tiverton Town shared the points in a 5-5 draw. Half-time: 4-5. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Poole Town at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tiverton Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Poole Town and 1.83 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Tiverton Town?

Poole Town 5-5 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 69%, draw 19%, Tiverton Town 12%. The final score 5-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Poole Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Poole Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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