Gainsborough Trinity 1-4 Hebburn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.27/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.66
-21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebburn Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-1 HT 1-0 Hebburn Town İNGNLP
20.08.2024 Hebburn Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1-4
AWAY Hebburn Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Hebburn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebburn Town ran out comfortable winners over Gainsborough Trinity 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Hebburn Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 60% of the ball to Hebburn Town's 40%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.50 for Hebburn Town.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Hebburn Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 1-4 Hebburn Town in the England - Non League Premier on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Hebburn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 40%, draw 32%, Hebburn Town 28%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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