Ajax vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ajax v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Ajax 0-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica had too much for Ajax 2-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Ajax had 62% of the ball to Benfica's 38%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.01 to 1.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ajax and 1.40 for Benfica.
Ajax vs Benfica Result & Final Score
Ajax 0 - 2 Benfica in the Champions League on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ajax vs Benfica Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ajax 26%, draw 27%, Benfica 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.