Napoli 2-0 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 25 Nov 2025

Napoli
2 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Karabağ
📅25/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Champions League – 2025/2026

Napoli vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
82%
1.18
Draw
11%
5.77
Away
7%
11.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.35
Over
65%
1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.15
2-3
43%
1.98
4-5
31%
2.67
6+
11%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
58%
1.34
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
2%
26.5
X/1
21%
3.81
X/2
3%
27.5
X/X
6%
9.38
2/1
3%
24.45
2/2
4%
24.85
2/X
2%
32.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Napoli v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ The Market 8%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
0.47 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.36
Weak Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Strong
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
485 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
35 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3

Napoli 2-0 Karabağ — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2 - 0
AWAY Karabağ
3.45 xG 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
484 Passes 387
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Napoli vs Karabağ
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli saw off Karabağ 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.45 to 0.50.

Napoli vs Karabağ Result & Final Score

Napoli 2 - 0 Karabağ in the Champions League on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Karabağ Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Napoli 82%, draw 11%, Karabağ 7%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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