Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.1
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.59
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.97
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
26%
3.05
6+
8%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.57
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
17%
4.84
X/2
9%
8.08
X/X
15%
5.29
2/1
3%
22.7
2/2
13%
5.71
2/X
5%
13.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Borussia Dortmund The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
1.08 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
Great Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Villarreal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.96 xG 0.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
491 Passes 339
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.08.2024 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2 HT 0-2 Villarreal Villarreal HAZ
22.07.2022 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2 HT 0-1 Villarreal Villarreal HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
AWAY Villarreal
4.03 xG 0.83
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
570 Passes 250
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Borussia Dortmund ran out comfortable winners over Villarreal 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (56%) came in, both teams to score (57%) didn't.

By the numbers, Borussia Dortmund had 67% of the ball to Villarreal's 33%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 4.03 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 2.00 for Villarreal.

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Result & Final Score

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 0 Villarreal in the Champions League on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 51%, draw 25%, Villarreal 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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