San Diego vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Diego v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
San Diego vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
San Diego 1-0 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
San Diego squeezed past Minnesota United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Diego as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Diego had 72% of the ball to Minnesota United's 28%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.64 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for San Diego and 2.50 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of San Diego vs Minnesota United?
San Diego 1-0 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Diego vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split San Diego 56%, draw 19%, Minnesota United 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.