Neuchatel Xamax vs Baden Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neuchatel Xamax v Baden — Team-Based Signals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Baden Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
1-2
HT 1-2
Baden
İSV2
Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Baden — Actual Match Statistics
Neuchatel Xamax and Baden shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Neuchatel Xamax at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 49% of the ball to Baden's 51%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.16 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.00 for Baden.
What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Baden?
Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Baden in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Baden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 54%, draw 24%, Baden 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.