Wil 1900 1-4 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 26 Jan 2024

Wil 1900
1-4 HT 0-1
Sion
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Wil 1900 vs Sion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wil 1900 v Sion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.44/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.22
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.2 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0

Wil 1900 vs Sion Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sion
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.26 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
366 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Sion Sion 3-0 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
11.08.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV2
09.11.2022 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-2 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSVK

Wil 1900 1-4 Sion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
1-4
AWAY Sion
1.36 xG 2.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
365 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion cruised past Wil 1900 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 51% of the ball to Sion's 49%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.36 to 2.53.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sion led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.67 for Sion.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Sion?

Wil 1900 1-4 Sion in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 23%, draw 27%, Sion 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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