Manchester United (K) 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
32%
4.19
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-12.6pp
32%
Draw
21%
+11.2pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.32/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.29
+9% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +132%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.0 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United (K)
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
2.83 xG 0.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
411 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
09.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKFAK
04.02.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
05.11.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
24.11.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
3-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2.72 xG 0.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
281 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) cruised past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 49% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 51%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.72 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Manchester United (K) and 0.60 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Manchester United (K) 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 51%, draw 32%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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