CD Guadalajara 3-1 Tenerife II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife II The Market 27%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.85/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.63
+32% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 5.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tenerife II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 27
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Tenerife II Tenerife II 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
3-1
AWAY Tenerife II
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Tenerife II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara beat Tenerife II 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 56% of the ball to Tenerife II's 44%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Tenerife II?

CD Guadalajara 3-1 Tenerife II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Tenerife II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 42%, draw 29%, Tenerife II 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5
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