UD San Fernando 2-1 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.45
Over
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD San Fernando The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense The Market 25%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
0.52/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.32
-63% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD San Fernando
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Linense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Linense Linense 0-2 HT 0-0 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD San Fernando
2-1
AWAY Linense
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UD San Fernando vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD San Fernando edged past Linense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UD San Fernando as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD San Fernando had 52% of the ball to Linense's 48%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of UD San Fernando vs Linense?

UD San Fernando 2-1 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD San Fernando vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UD San Fernando 43%, draw 29%, Linense 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD San Fernando) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD San Fernando) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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