Xerez Deportivo 0-1 Cadiz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.6
Over Pick
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz II The Market 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.11/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.62
-21% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez Deportivo
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Cadiz II
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2023 Cadiz II Cadiz II 3-0 HT 3-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
15.10.2022 Xerez Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
27.03.2022 Cadiz II Cadiz II 0-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
07.11.2021 Xerez Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
0-1
AWAY Cadiz II
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Cadiz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz II edged past Xerez Deportivo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez Deportivo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 57% of the ball to Cadiz II's 43%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cadiz II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Xerez Deportivo and 1.25 for Cadiz II.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Cadiz II?

Xerez Deportivo 0-1 Cadiz II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Cadiz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 47%, draw 27%, Cadiz II 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo)
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