Vicenza 4-1 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.67
No
59%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
67%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.79/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.74
-2% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +133%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alcione
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Alcione 1-2 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
4-1
AWAY Alcione
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza ran out comfortable winners over Alcione 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vicenza had 44% of the ball to Alcione's 56%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Alcione?

Vicenza 4-1 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 62%, draw 22%, Alcione 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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