Catania 3-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 31% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 20%
-19% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +28%
1.28/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.56
-27% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
1W-0D-2L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 3-2 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
28.03.2024 Catania Catania 2-3 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
26.11.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
3-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catania vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania saw off SSC Giugliano 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catania had 53% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 47%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Catania and 2.00 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Catania vs SSC Giugliano?

Catania 3-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Catania 48%, draw 28%, SSC Giugliano 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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