US Latina 0-3 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.6
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.71/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.07
-34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Avellino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
06.01.2024 US Latina US Latina 0-5 HT 0-5 Avellino Avellino İTC
02.09.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-2 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
29.01.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
24.09.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
22.02.2022 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
0-3
AWAY Avellino
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino swept aside US Latina 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, US Latina had 51% of the ball to Avellino's 49%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, US Latina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for US Latina and 0.83 for Avellino.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Avellino?

US Latina 0-3 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split US Latina 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
26 Jan 2025
14:30 Catania vs SSC Giugliano Analysis →
17:00 Vicenza vs Alcione Analysis →
17:00 Perugia vs Pescara Analysis →
17:00 Milan II vs Rimini Analysis →
17:00 Juventus II vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →
17:00 Foggia Calcio vs Benevento Analysis →