SSC Giugliano 3-2 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 34% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.58/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.13
+44% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Catania
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Catania Catania 2-3 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
26.11.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
3-2
AWAY Catania
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano nicked a narrow win over Catania 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 46% of the ball to Catania's 54%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.50 for Catania.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Catania?

SSC Giugliano 3-2 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 29%, draw 28%, Catania 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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